“Exchanges at Goldman Sachs” Podcast – The commodity sell-off that ended 2018 was less a reflection of deteriorating fundamentals than an unwinding of growth exuberance, says Goldman Sachs Research’s Jeff Currie, noting that commodities are roughly back where they started before “global synchronous growth” became the buzz in 2017. From here, he sees them moving higher near-term, supported by a pause in Fed rate hikes, production cuts from OPEC, a weaker dollar, and policy easing in China. But returning alongside higher spot prices is the rapid growth in US shale, with new pipeline capacity unlocking supply from the Permian Basin. That should keep a lid on longer-term prices, Currie says, re-anchoring the market around a fast-cycle, lower-cost New Oil Order.
For more episodes of “Exchanges at Goldman Sachs” please visit us at http://www.goldmansachs.com/our-thinking/podcasts/index.html or subscribe on iTunes https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/exchanges-at-goldman-sachs/id948913991
This podcast was recorded on January 10, 2019.
All price references and market forecasts correspond to the date of this recording.
This podcast should not be copied, distributed, published or reproduced, in whole or in part. The information contained in this podcast does not constitute research or a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to the listener. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates makes any representation or warranty, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or any information contained in this podcast and any liability therefor (including in respect of direct, indirect or consequential loss or damage) is expressly disclaimed. The views expressed in this podcast are not necessarily those of Goldman Sachs, and Goldman Sachs is not providing any financial, economic, legal, accounting or tax advice or recommendations in this podcast. In addition, the receipt of this podcast by any listener is not to be taken as constituting the giving of investment advice by Goldman Sachs to that listener, nor to constitute such person a client of any Goldman Sachs entity.